Game By Game Breakdown - DFS - Betting
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Rams vs Bills - Thursday Night:
Bets:
Bills -2.5
Devin Singletary any time TD +140 (or Singletary + Bills win +280)
Darrell Henderson Jr. any time TD +310
Darrell Henderson over 15.5 rec yards.
Game Preview:
The Bills did not have much turnover roster-wise this season, they had addition by subtraction at the WR spot, by finally letting Gabe Davis, and Isaiah McKenzie become focal points in this offseason (and maybe Crowder). Both Zach Moss, and James Cook looked good in the preseason, so if Devin Singletary were to struggle at all I think we could see the Bills go with a three-headed monster at the RB position.
The biggest news for this games comes with defense. Star DB Tre'Davious White will be out in this one which means the Rams WRs will get it a little bit easier than what the matchup on paper is telling us. Dane Jackson will be filling in for him, and he did good enough last year, the Bills also drafted a rookie corner Kaiir Elam that is expected to start, as well. Taron Johnson is the Bills slot corner which would be a player that you would want to avoid, so it all depends on where the Rams WRs lineup.
The Rams are interesting because they replaced OBJ with Allen Robinson which most assume is going to be a slight upgrade. WR Van Jefferson may or may not play in this one, if he sits that could lead to some value at the WR spot. The biggest thing we are looking at with the Rams is what RB is going to be the "RB1" Cam Akers was rushed back from injury last year and looked terrible. Henderson although injury prone has looked great. I sort of like Henderson more in this game. Von Miller will be making his first start as a Bills player. (Coming over from the Rams). Bobby Wagner the replacement for Von Miller is making his first start for the Rams.
I think that the lack of preseason playing time for both teams could lead to some sloppy football but with a lot of the Rams starters being injured for most of training camp, and possibly having the Superbowl hangover I like the Bills in this one.
Top Plays:
Devin Singletary - BUF - RB - $7,000 SD:
Singletary is the 4th highest-priced Bills player on the SD slate, and I think that is just too cheap of a price tag for him. Sure the Ram's Defense is good, but in a game that is expected to be one of the highest-scoring games on the slate players are going to score, and I think one of those TDs will go to Singletary. Singletary finished his season with a TD in 6 straight games, scoring over 16.6 DK points per game in that stretch. He can get involved in the passing game a lot which is where I think he will shine in this one.
McKenzie or Crowder - BUF - WR:
McKenzie could be inactive in this one as he is dealing with an injury. If he does sit that means that we will be seeing a lot of Crowder. Crowder would become one of the better values on the slate as well. With Jalen Ramsey most guarding Davis, and Diggs for the game that means that the other passing options should get a little bit more of a boast. I think that boast goes to one of these two WRs. If McKenzie is active I think he will be a great value on the showdown slate and would be one to look at.
Darrell Henderson Jr. - LAR - RB:
The thing will Henderson is that he has proven that he is an RB that cannot sustain a huge workload without getting injured, so his ceiling is somewhat capped. But Henderson when healthy looks like the Rams best RB. Cam Akers is priced at $8,000 while Henderson is priced at $4,800. This should not be the case these two should be basically the same price.
Falcons vs Rams:
Bets:
Saints -230
Game Preview:
Saints:
All "healthy for the Saints" - Winston, Kamara, and Michael Thomas
New Additions: Jarvis Landy, and Chris Olave.
WR Matchups: AJ Terrell (, and Casey Hayward (Both great CBs.)
Falcons weakness: Rush + Pressure
Takeaway: Winston could be a great QB play, and Alvin Kamara should easily smash.
Falcons:
Additions: Mariota, London, Allgeier
D Matchups: Mathieu vs Kyle Pitts. Lattimore vs London. Best Run D last year.
Saints weakness: TBD
Takeaway: Although Mariota looked great this preseason I expect this defense to be too much for this offense to handle. Really the only way I see the Falcons competing in this one offensively is if Mariota has a big game on the GROUND. Pitts, and London will be stay aways for me this week. I do think the Falcons are going to be much improved this year so I only like betting the Saints to win as I could see this being a potential "shocker" in week one.
Top Plays:
Jameis Winston - NO - QB - $5,300:
I do think that the Saints will "Unleash" Winston this week with all of his new weapons on the team. But knowing just which weapons are going to benefit seems to be the struggle. With all of the WRs being properly priced on the slate the move this week might just be to roll with Winston as a solid lineup filler QB play.
Alvin Kamara - ATL - RB - $7,600:
Last year Kamara went for 20 DK points against the Falcons twice, with little improvement on defense I think that Kamara should be able to get to 20 DK points as well. With more weapons on this squad that should mean Kamara has more effective games with the ball. Kamara is at a great price point that makes him easy to play.
Saints D - $3,700:
I hate paying up for defense, but especially since the Saints only scored 12 DK points total against the Falcons last year. But the Falcon's offense could struggle while they try to find their identity. Not a defensive play that I love but I do see them getting around 7 DK points.
Colts vs Texans:
Bets:
JT over 98.5 rushing yards ( had 143, and 145 against HOU last year. Projected to get 114 rushing yards.
Game Preview:
Texans:
Offense New Additions: Dameon Pierce
WR Matchups: Stephan Gilmore vs Brandin Cooks
Opp D Weakness: TE
Takeaway: With Pierce we never saw him be used as a workhorse RB in college, but then again Florida offense has just been annoying in that since. Plus the Texans do not really have anyone else. I think Pierce could be a good value. With Cooks getting covered by Gilmore I think we could see Nico Collins have a game. Also the Texan TE Brevin Jordan have been getting a ton of hype this camp and he will have a chance to prove that.
Colts:
Offense Additions: Matt Ryan, Alec Pierce
D Matchups: Stingley Jr (rookie) vs ??
Opp D Weakness: Everything
Takeaway: The Colts should be able to rush at ease against the Texans in this one like they did last year. This game should be the Jonathan Taylor show. Colts D, and Pittman are quality options as well. The question with this game is just how much with the Colts win by.
JT - IND - $9,100 - Core Play:
JT averaged 30 DK points and 140 total yards against the Texans last year, and I see no reason why something like that will not continue once again in this one. He is a playing that everyone should be looking to play this week. Now if JT were to not have a massive game that would mean that Matt Ryan and Michael Pittman did, chances are this won't happen but it could. I will have a sliver of Ryan / Pittman stacks. If you can afford to pay up for the Colts D you can. They make a lot of since in two games against the Texans last ear they had 15 and 18 DK points.
Michael Pittman - IND - $5,500 - High Exposure:
Pittman should be able to feast in this one, and we are expecting that, but just how much will need him to feast in this one is the question. I see him being a safe 2x play, but in a week where JT is the obvious play just how much do we have to play Pittman is the question.
Brevin Jordan - HOU - TE - $3,100 - Mid Exposure:
Part of why I like to do these deep dives is a player like Jordan becomes a quality play. In 9 games last year he averaged 6.2 DK points which at this price point if he did just that he would hit value at 2X. He is a player the Texans are excited about and I could see him having a good enough game. On a slate where TE value is tough he could be a name to look for.
Dameon Pierce - HOU - RB - $4,800 - Mid Exposure:
Pierce makes for a great GPP play, but I am not sure I want to play him in cash. Chances are that this team will get down early, and that will mean that we will get a lot of Rex Burkhead who is looking like he will be the 3rd down RB. If you are looking to stack this game I actually do not hate a little JT, Colts D, and actually run it back with Burkhead for a low-owned GPP play. But Pierce is the one expected to get the most playing time while this game is close, and thus he is the one you would play with the most confidence. He did look good this preseason as well.
Jags vs Commanders:
Bets:
NA
Game Preview:
Jaguars:
Offense New Additions: Christian Kirk, Zay Jones, and Evan Engram
WR Matchups: Fuller and Jackson. (Safety Bobby Mccain)
Opp D Weakness: WRs
Takeaway: This is the perfect game for the Jags, even though the D gets pressure their quick route passing game should not change their script too much.
WAS:
Offense Additions: Carson Wentz, Dotson
D Matchups: Shaq Griffin (69.7 cmp %), and Tyson Campbell vs McLaurin.
Opp D Weakness: WRs
Takeaway: The Jags D can get pressure, but their corners are not that good. Washington should be able to score at ease, just who will score the TDs.
Terry McLaurin - WSH - WR - $6,500 - Low Exposure:
TML should have a good game in this one, or at the very least he should be targeted heavily in this one. Last year he had the most targets on this team by 68! We saw him be inconsistent last year and that was due to inconsistent offense, and that might not change with Wentz at QB but that is why he is only a low-exposure play. I love the idea with stacking TML with the Jags players that I love. Maybe, rookie, WR Dotson would be the one to look at in this one. It would not be shocking to see him have a huge game this week given the matchup. He has been getting a lot of hype in the preseason as well.
Trevor Lawrence - JAX - QB - 5,600:
Before the bye week last year when the Jags season went in the toilet Lawrence was a respectable rookie QB, but as the season went on it became a bad season. Still you see everything that you want to see with him as a QB, making the correct reads, and passes. The issue is that the passes need to be more accurate. Maybe that's just a confidence thing. I think Lawrence will have a big week 1 against an easy opponent.
Christian Kirk - JAX - WR - $5,100 - Core Play:
I just do not see how we do not play Kirk at this price. He is basically in the same or better role as to what he was in last year with the Cards. Heck in one preseason game he had 5 rec on 8 targets for 54 yards. I think this will be the norm for Kirk targeted heavily leading to him being a productive season-long option in both DFS and fantasy football.
Marvin Jones - JAX - WR - $4,400 - High Exposure:
Marvin Jones will be in a lot of my lineups. It is obvious that Lawrence trusts Jones, and why wouldn't he? Jones has always been a great WR in this league, and always a little bit disrespected by the fantasy community. I think that is obvious given this price point since he averaged 10.8 DK points last year. In his 17 games last year he only would have not hit value at this price point 5 times. If this offense is improved Jones should benefit from it as well. I do think Zay Jones could also be used in stacks a little replacing Marvin Jones.
Evan Engram, I like as a TE play, I just wish he was a little bit cheaper.
Eagles vs Lions
Bets:
Lions +4, +165
Game Preview:
Eagles:
Offense New Additions: AJ Brown
WR Matchups: Amari Oruwariye vs AJ BROWN? + Jeff Okudah (Bad)
Opp D Weakness: Running
Takeaway: Lions were the worst against the rush last year, this should mean that one of the RBs, and maybe Hurts goes off. Leading to the WR plays being less appealing.
Lions:
Offense Additions: NA
D Matchups: Darius Slay + Avonte Maddox
Opp D Weakness: WRs
Takeaway: Eagles D is good against stopping the deep routes, but not that good against underneath routes, this will be the Lions offense this year I like the Lions pass catching options a decent amount.
Boston Scott - $4,500 - PHI - RB - VALUE ONLY:
The Lions are bad against the run, and we know that the Eagles are going to split of the work load, this leads me to like Boston Scott a decent amount. Against the Lions last year Scott had 18 DK points. Will that happen again most likely not, but could he score around 12 DK points due to him falling into the endzone? Yes. Low exposure value only RB play here. Maybe Sanders if healthy finally gets a long TD.
Dallas Goedert - TE - PHI - $4,500 - High Exposure:
I was pretty shocked at this price point because we know that Goedert is one of the best TEs in the league, and even in fantasy last year he had 9 out of his 16 games with 10 or more DK points. At the tail end of last season (after Ertz left) Goedert had 15, 13, 5, 24, and 32 DK points. Chances are he is going to smash this price point.
TJ Hockenson $4,900 - DET - TE - High Exposure:
I do think that Hock will be the safer of Goedert, and Hock, but that is probably why he is priced this high. Last year against PHI Hock had 10 REC for 89 yards on 11 targets. I think that Hock has a great chance to at least 2X in this game. I will be using one of these two TEs a decent amount in week 1.
D'Andre Swift - $6,800 - DET - RB - Mid Exposure:
Swift is a decent GPP play, the Eagles are more than happy to give up passes underneath which should lead to Swift getting a decent amount of rec that way. We saw him be boom or bust last year, and I do not see that change that much in week 1.
Phins vs Pats
Bets:
Mac Jones over 230.5 passing yards (-115). In two games last year he had 261, and 281 passing yards. He is only projected to get 232 passing yards though.
Game Preview:
Phins:
Offense New Additions: Hill, Edmonds
WR Matchups: Devin McCourty (43.5 cmp %) vs Hill + Mills, Peppers + Dugger + Phillips (Staying fresh)
Opp D Weakness: Underneath routes. + RBs
Takeaway: I see Chase Edmonds being the lead RB in this offense, and thus he is really the only Phins play that I like. Edmonds should get a decent amount of catches, and the Pats weakness year was against RBs.
Pats:
Offense Additions: Parker, Ty Montgomery
D Matchups: Xavien Howard (55.8 cmp%) vs Jakobi Meyers
Opp D Weakness: RB
Takeaway: The Pats might win this one, but the offense could struggle as beat reports have hated the offense thus far. We do not really know, I think Parker and Henry are TD dependent plays but Parker has the revenge game narrative. I think Harris and Meyers will be "safe" plays but not plays you need to make.
Jakobi Meyers - $4,300 - WR - NE - Low Exposure:
The price point for Meyers is certainly good at $4,300 Meyers is cheaper in week 1 than he was all of last year. This might be due to the addition of DeVante Parker, but I see Parker more hurting Bourne, and Henry this season. Meyers role should not change too much. But last year against MIA Meyers only had 10 and 10.4 DK points against MIA while getting 8 and 9 targets. He will need to do better than that this year but at the very least at this price point he should be able to hit value. Ty Montgomery could be a sneaky WR value play as he is expected to take over for the "James White Role" could he get 7 DK points in week one? Sure. But not likely.
Chase Edmonds - $5,200 - MIA - RB - Mid Exposure:
Edmonds is actually ranking out as one of the better value plays on the slate. With NE's weakness being the RB it does make sense. While splitting work with James Conner last year Edmonds was still able to score 11.5 DK points while only have 2 TDs. Edmonds is a strong play in this game especially if you are looking for a cheap low owned RB play that can break the slate.
Damien Harris - $5,700 - RB NE - Low Exposure:
Harris last year against the Phins had 17.3 and 15.7 DK points. I think this was by design, and the Pats will game plan the same way. Establish the run, and beat the Phins via the run.
Niners vs Bears
Bets:
DM over 15 .5 REC yards. Did this 9 out of 13 times last season. Projected to get 29 REC yards. (-110)
Game Preview:
Bears:
Offense New Additions: Pringle, V. Jones, Pettis, Sharpe
WR Matchups: Ward + Moseley
Opp D Weakness: WR
Takeaway: David Montgomery and Mooney should be able to hit value, but it is Mooney who I could see really dominating. DM is a quality RB, and I think he will get to 12 DK points in this one, but there are better safer plays to go after.
SF:
Offense Additions: Gray, Price
D Matchups:
Opp D Weakness: PASS (worst "Highest" QB rating)
Takeaway: The Bears were very bad against the pass last year. I think that Deebo, Aiyuk, Kittle, and Gray should firmly be in play in this one. This means that I will not be targeting a Niners RB. I think they will be very good against the run, and I do like the Bears D as a whole. you could also play the Niners D.
George Kittle - SF - TE - Core Play $5,900:
The problem with Kittle is trying to afford to pay up for him, but I think that Kittle could easily break this slate with a monster game. His price isn't too expensive but given how cheap "safe" plays like Goedert and Hock are it makes him appear to be expensive. Sure the Bears were great against TEs last year, but their weakness is in the passing game. How the Niners use Kittle when they want to use him as a pass catcher is more as a WR which is what I think they will do in this game.
Brandon Aiyuk - SF - WR - $5,200 - Mid Exposure:
Aiyuk is one of my favorite plays on this slate. He ended last year on a tear. I think that Lance and Aiyuk will have a strong connection this year as well. he is priced cheap enough where you can fit him into your builds if need be as well. He should get a lot of one on one time against the Bears rookie CB.
Darnell Mooney - CHI - WR - High Exposure $5,700:
The Bears are so banged up on offense this preseason, and possibly leading into week 1. This should lead to Mooney getting a lot of targets in this one which should lead to a lot of DK points. This could easily be the lowest price point we will see from Mooney all year. Last year the Bears played the Niners in week 8 and Mooney had 9 targets for 6 REC and 64 yards scoring 12.4 DK points. I would say that is his floor this week.
Pringle and V. Jones are still injured, and Sharpe is on the IR. This means that EQ St. Brown might be the Bears WR 2. Which is just ugly. Honestly I know Dante Pettis is inconsistent, but when he is on the field he gets open. Going against his former team I could see Pettis getting lucky and having a decent game. Especially when looking at min priced WR value between him and EQ.
On the flip side speedy rookie WR Danny Gray could be a sneaky 1 catch 40 yd TD play at 3.2 on DK.
Panthers vs Browns
Bets:
Baker Mayfield under 220.5 passing yards (maybe)
Game Preview:
Browns:
Offense New Additions: Cooper, Brissett
WR Matchups: Jackson
Opp D Weakness: NA
Takeaway: Don't love anyone. Don't play DFS or bet on this game.
Panthers:
Offense Additions: Baker, Foreman
D Matchups: Ward vs Moore. Williams vs Anderson
Opp D Weakness: NA
Takeaway: I think the Panthers brought in Foreman to handle some of the short yardage work so the CMC can stay healthy. With that I am taking the wait-and-see approach with CMC. Also this is Bakers "revenge" game I will be looking to target that. It may however be with the CLE D.
I do not really like anyone DFS-wise in this game.
Ravens vs Jets
Bets:
Over
Game Preview:
Ravens:
Offense New Additions: Davis, Drake
WR Matchups: DJ Reed, and rookie Sauce Gardner
Opp D Weakness: TE/RB
Takeaway: My expectation is that Dobbins does not play in this one thus Mike Davis is a great value play. If Dobbins does play I might just stay away from this game.
Jets:
Offense Additions: Davis, Hall
D Matchups: Kyle Fuller + Marlon Humphrey, and Marcus Peters
Opp D Weakness: Was WR (Peters and Humphrey injured last year)
Takeaway: The Jets are a good enough team to compete except their QBs suck. That is the problem. D is ok, and the offensive weapons are good enough.
Mark Andrews - BAL - TE - $6,800 - High Exposure:
Mark Andrews gets what appears to be a great matchup against the Jets, and a matchup that he should be able to hit value on. Really this comes down to why? We have Kittle is what could be a good spot, and we already know that Goedert and Hock are in great spots at a great price point.
Elijah Moore - NYJ - WR - $5,100 - High Exposure:
It is very tough not to love Elijah Moore at this price point. I mean the man ended last year with 6 or more targets in every game from week 7 on. In that span he averaged 18 DK points. Now he did get injured by I do not think that is anything to worry about. The ceiling and the floor should be very high for Mr Moore in this one.
Tyler Conklin - TE - NYJ - $3,500 High Exposure:
If you're looking for a cheap TE play that will score some DK points look or Tyler Conklin who keeps getting a lot of hype from Jets camp. In his last preseason game Conklin had 4 targets for 5.3 DK points. This is also a good matchup. I could see you using Flacco, Moore, and Conklin in a cheap GPP stack.
Both Dobbins or Davis are pretty strong values. If Dobbins plays you could roster him. If Dobbins sits you could and should roster Davis.
Bengals vs Pit
Bets:
- Steelers +6.5 (if Dionte Johnson Plays)
- Joe Burrow under 261.5 passing yards (-115). In two games against the Steelers last year he only had 172, and 190 passing yards. (He is projected to get the over passing yards)
- Najee Harris over 22.5 REC yards.
Game Preview:
Bengals:
Offense New Additions: NA
WR Matchups: Ahello Witherspoon (Played really well before getting injured) Cameron Sutton (sucked)
Opp D Weakness: RB
Takeaway: Easily the luckiest playoff run I can remember was the one the Bengals had last year, still confused as to how this solid team was able to get to the Superbowl. I sort of expect them to take a big step back this year and come back to the norm. This team is feeling plenty confident as well so it will be interesting. I do like Joe Mixon in this game but he is priced up.
Steelers:
Offense Additions: Trubisky, Pickens
D Matchups: Mike Hilton (slot WR - attack) Eli Apple + Chidobe Awuzie
Opp D Weakness: Was WR (Peters and Humphrey injured last year)
Takeaway: I see the Steelers being the same team they were last year. This game though depends on if Johnson is healthy and active. If he sits that means Najee Harris will be even more of a lock, and Claypool and Pickens become firmly in play.
Najee Harris - PIT - RB - $6,400 - Core Play:
One of the strangest price points on this slate is Najee Harris's, heck last year the only two weeks he was this cheap was week 1 and 2 last year when he was a rookie. The offense was terrible last year and it is no surprise that he ended the season last year poorly. That was expected because all teams had to do was stop the run. Now the offense is respected able, and Harris looked great in limited work this preseason. Last year Harris had his best game of the year against the Bengals in week 3 scoring 31 Dk points, and one of his worst in week 12 scoring 6.7 DK points. Given the offense won't suck he should hit value.
Dionte Johnson is a great value if healthy. If he sits look for Claypool and Pickens to be great values on this slate.
Joe Mixon can be used as an RB play on this slate. He had 35 Dk points, and 104 DK points against PIT last year. He is just priced in a spot I do not love.
Charges vs Raiders
Bets:
Chargers -190
Game Preview:
Chargers:
Offense New Additions: NA
WR Matchups: Rock Ya-Sin vs Keenan or Mike Will + Nate Hobbs most likely Mike Williams
Opp D Weakness: RB
Takeaway: This could and should be a high scoring game. I think that Mike Williams, Keenan Allen, and Austin Ekeler all hit value, with Ekeler exceeding his price point. With that Herbert is firmly in play as well. This could be a game that you game stack.
Raiders:
Offense Additions: Adams, Zamire White
D Matchups: Bryce Callahan vs Hunter Renfrow
Opp D Weakness: RB
Takeaway: We really have no idea of how this offense will look, but it should look good. The question is who will the RB snaps, and how the WR Targets get distributed.
Josh Jacobs - $6,300 - LVR - RB - Low Exposure:
I personally really like the price point of Jacobs, but we just do not know exactly what his role will be. Last year we did see Jacobs be very consistent only scoring under 10 DK points once last year.
Austin Ekeler - LAC - RB - Core Play - $8,200:
Ekeler averaged over 30 DK points against the Raiders last year. This year his role has not changed at all, and should be someone we can count on once again to go for 20+ DK points. The issue with Ekeler is that I would rather pay up for JT. Ekeler is a safer option than is Henry or CMC at a cheaper price point.
Josh Palmer could be an interesting value at 3.8K he is expected to take another step in this one.
Giants vs Titans
Bets:
Titans -5.5
- Ryan Tannehill over 207.5 passing yards. Projected 215 passing yards. Had over this total in 12 out of 18 games last year. (with bad weapons)
Game Preview:
Titans:
Offense New Additions: Woods, Phillips, Burks, Hooper
WR Matchups: Adore Jackson + Xaiver McKinney - both solid last year.
Opp D Weakness: RB
Takeaway: I am interested in seeing how Henry looks this week, I am sort of using the wait and see approach with this one. I actually think one of the rookie WRs, Burks or Phillips will have a "surprising good game". The problem is that all of the Titans players are priced up enough to the point that there really is no point in playing them.
Giants:
Offense Additions: Robinson
D Matchups: Christian Fulton (great) Caleb Farley (only played 3 games)
Opp D Weakness: WR
Takeaway: I want to see Toney play, if he does he is just way too cheap. Gary Brightwell has looked good in the preseason, I want to see if he will have a role at all.
Kadarius Toney - $4,100 - WR - NYG - Core Play:
Toney when he played he got open, and got targeted. I think he is now their best offensive weapon. (Yes I mean over Saquan). He has that quick twitch that you love to see in a player, and if he is healthy I love him as a play, and if he is healthy and playing I might just not bet on this game.
Packers vs Vikings
Bets:
Packers -1.5 (If this game were after week one I would HAMMER the Packers, but Aaron Rodgers has started out slow the past two preseasons so I want to see it out of him first.
- Adam Thielen has over 49.5 REC yards. D attention on Jefferson. Thielen had 82 REC yards last year against the Packers.
- Aaron Rodgers over 256.5 passing yards. Last year the Vikings gave up the 4th most passing yards to opposing QBs. Last year Rodgers had 288, and 385 against the Vikings. D still sucks. (Projected 285 passing yards)
Game Preview:
Packers:
Offense New Additions: Watson, Doubs
WR Matchups: Patrick Peterson (great, but getting old), Cameron Dantzler (good last year)
Opp D Weakness: RB, WR
Takeaway: Randall Cobb, Sammy Watkins or Romeo Doubs are going to go off in this one, I am just not sure which one it will be. The value with these plays in this matchup is too great not to play a lot of though on this slate.
Vikings:
Offense Additions: Reagor?
D Matchups: Douglas vs Thielen, Jaire vs Jefferson
Opp D Weakness: TE
Takeaway: I think the Packers are going to be a great defense this year, it sort of makes all of the Vikings players hard to play. really the only one that I could see is Irv Smith as a pass-catching TE hitting value.
AJ Dillion + Aaron Jones:
I think both of them are going to hit value, but will they break the slate? Maybe. But I could see Aaron Jones being very active in the passing game, and I could see a path where Aaron Jones does break the slate.
Cobb, Doubs or Watkins. I like Cobb and Watkins the most as I think one of them are going to have a huge game. But it would not be shocking to see Doubs get a lot of PT and have a great game as well.
Chiefs vs Cards
Bets:
Over - Easily the best game on the slate. I see this game being the one you want to attack the most DFS wise as well because it is so easy to attack it.
Game Preview:
Chiefs:
Offense New Additions: MVS, Pacheco, Juju, Sky moore
WR Matchups: Marco Wilson (Bad) Bryon Murphy (good enough)
Opp D Weakness: WR
Takeaway: Easily a game that you want to stack, just how to go about doing it? You have CEH at a cheap price point that should easily get to 10 DK points, but just how much more than that? You have Kelce priced up, and Juju super cheap. If I am playing any Chiefs WR it will be Juju. Taking a chance on him at that price point and maybe he can get 20 D points (lots of rec)
Cards:
Offense Additions: Brown
D Matchups: Rashad Fetton + Sneed + drafted rookie TRent McDuffie (all ok)
Opp D Weakness: WR
Takeaway: Who not to play on this offense is the question. Marquise Brown is a great play at his price point. AJ Green could be a great value with Moore and Ertz possibly out. James Conner is firmly in play as well.
Brown, Green, Moore. and Ertz - Cards:
Honestly all of the Cards pass catchers are firmly in play in this game, even TE Zach Ertz I love on this slate, and I could see using him as a cash TE. I also love Marquise Brown in this one. Brown is only priced at $6,200 which should be extremely easy for him to hit value in this pass-heavy game. I don't know if we can fit Brown into cash builds but if you can it makes a lot of since. If Rondale Moore who is currently questionable has to site then I like Green a lot more than I already do.
I like Kyler Murray a lot more in this one than I do Mahomes especially given price point.
Juju - KC - WR - $5,200 - High Exposure
I am not a huge Juju fan at least I did not like him the past two years, and that worked out, but he does seem to be the WR1 in this offense, and if he is at this price point he is just way too cheap. I will be looking to play in him GPPs only. I do not think you have to lay him in cash. I will say WR Justin Watson was the WR 1 for the Chiefs this preseason would not be too shocking to see him have a good game.
Bucs vs Cowboys
Bets:
Cowboys +1.5
Game Preview:
Cowboys:
Offense New Additions: Tolbert
WR Matchups: Carlton Davis II vs CeeDee Lamb
Opp D Weakness: WR/TE
Takeaway: Dak looks like he could be a decent value QB play on this slate but we need to know which players he is going to be throwing the ball to. I think it will be Lamb for sure active, and Dalton Shultz could be a good play. I actually think Dalton Shutlz will be the difference maker in this game.
Bucs:
Offense Additions: Julio, Rudolph, Gage
D Matchups: Trevon Diggs (good), Anthony Brown (had a good year)
Opp D Weakness: All
Takeaway: A lot of the Bucs players are just priced up too much for me on this slate. Maybe except for Julio that could be targeted a ton by Tom Brady.
For the Bucs we are still waiting to see if Godwin will play, and for the Cowboys we need news on Gallup, and Lamb.
Broncos vs Seahawks
Bets:
Broncos -6.5
Over 42
Game Preview:
Broncos:
Offense New Additions: Wilson
WR Matchups: Patrick Surtain + Darby
Opp D Weakness: NA
Takeaway: This is the ideal spot for Javonte Williams to finish as the top RB heading into week 2. Honestly though I could see Williams having a huge game.
Seahawks:
Offense Additions: Fant
D Matchups: Trevon Diggs (good), Anthony Brown (had a good year)
Opp D Weakness: All
Takeaway: A lot of the Bucs players are just priced up too much for me on this slate. Maybe except for Julio that could be targeted a ton by Tom Brady.
Javonte Williams - DEN - RB - HiMid Exposure - $6,300:
So the Seahawks were terrible against RBS DFS wise, but were good at stopping the run. I Still think that Williams will be able to have a good game in this one.
Noah Fant - SEA - TE - $4,100:
Priced up too much to use ont the full slate but I do think Fant is going to have his best season of his career.
Rashaad Penny - SEA - RB - $5,700 - Mid Exposure:
Penny was a league winner last year, scoring over 20 DK points in 4 out of his last 5 games. Sure a lot of that might have been "fresh legs" but I am ready to see if it wasn't this is a great price point for someone that could be a good play.
The top WR play on this slate I think will be Sutton, and he is priced too cheap to not think about. Metcalf and Lockett could do well as well. Jeudy is an after thought for me.
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